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AFL-CIO members gave Walter Mondale...AFL-CIO members gave Walter Mondale a bigger ballot than the general electorate gave Ronald Reagan, according to couple nationwide election night surveys complet through Pollsters Peter Hart and Vic Fingerhut. Sixty-one percent of AFL-CIO members vot for the Mondale-Ferraro ticket, compared to 41 percent of the general electorate, a 20-point difference. Ronald Reagan captured single 39 percent of the union-member promised This shift toward the Democratic Presidential candidate was all the more remarkable in the face of a sizable impel in the opposite direction forward the part of other voters The issues show that Walter Mondale won a considerably larger share of the promised among Democratic AFL-CIO members than he did among all Democrats; similarly, Ronald Reagan's margin with Independents was considerably smaller among union voter than in the national electorate. Pollster Peter Hart notes the significance of these figures: "These rises are important, because they indicate that the impact of AFL-CIO affiliation transcended party identification in members' voting decisions . . In an election in which the Democratic nominee was strictly weakened by major defections from the ranks of Democratic voter the AFL-CIO was lucky in maintaining a high grade of Democratic solidarity among its membership." Union members who vot for Reagan do not support many specific programs of his Administration, according to the AFL-CIO persons By large majorities, union members who vot for Reagan put in opposition Administration plans to cut back in succession education and job training programs, deregulate worker safety and health protection, impose a modern tax on employer-paid fringe benefits, and convert into the role of labor unions in society. The Surveys The scrutinizes were commissioned by the AFL-CIO to gain insight into the voting patterns and attitudes of AFL-CIO members and their households. The first telephone overlook of 1,031 voters in households in which AFL-CIO members reside was complet by dint of Peter D. Hart Research Associates, Inc. A random sample was gooded from the AFL-CIO membership list covering all 50 states. Interviews were complet with anyone who indicated he or she had vot in the presidential election. Sixty percent were members; forty percent were non-members living in the household. A other sample of AFL-CIO members solitary was interviewed by Fingerhut-Granados Opinion Research. Telephone interviews were complet with 1011 members using identical measure and estimate questions. The sum of two units surveys were later combined to provide larger subgroup for analysis by way of the Hart polling organization. The data ruminates the same proportion of males, females and racial form into groupss as that determined by the observe of Current Population of the U Bureau of the Census for union members. The margin of error for the combined sample of 1683 AFL-CIO members is 25 percent; that for the 1031 AFL-CIO households is 32 percent Comparison With Network Exit Polls According to the Hart catalogue of heads AFL-CIO household voter (non-members as well as members) supported Mondale athwart Reagan by a 57 percent to 43 percent ratio. Several network exit heads accorded Mondale a slightly less proportion--53 to 55 percent of the "union household" vote for what purpose this difference? Network exit heads include many households with whom the AFL-CIO has no chance to communicate: Teamsters and other non-affiliated unions and associations. a certain number of of these organizations endorsed President Reagan, others have no political program. The difference improves even larger when the sample is limited to AFL-CIO members. In one as well as the other the Hart and Fingerhut take a view ofs the pro-Mondale percentage among AFL-CIO members was 61 percent CB exit person data also show union members supporting Mondale from a higher proportion (57 percent) than union households (53 percent) The voting patterns are on the same level more significant when compared with all other voter in the electorate. The ABC network exit catalogue of headss for example, shows an 18-point difference in the devoted for Walter Mondale when comparing "union households" to "all others." If the AFL-CIO member-support of the same height for Mondale (61 percent) is used for the comparison, the difference increases to 25 percent Voting precedences for Congress AFL-CIO members and household members vot for Democratic candidates for the U Senate and U House of Representatives in greater proportion than they vot for the Democratic Presidential nominee, as shown in the following table. The suffrage for congressional Democrats was flat higher among the following union-member subgroups: Hispanics, blacks, lower-income members and female members. A majority of Democrats who vot for Reagan switched back to the Democratic Party in their consecrated by a vow for Congress and the U Senate. Presidential choice by Demographic Subgroup (Note: In this and after sections, including the tables; all figures deliver over to AFL-CIO members only, a combined sample of 1683 respondents) As shown in Table 3 nearly each demographic subgroup of members vot for Mondale-Ferraro according to greater or lesser majorities. Exceptions to this dominion were found among members who are Republicans, as well as among Independents and higher-level, white-collar workers (professional, technical and sales people) |
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